Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 3, 2026 • Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 20.1

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 11%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2026

Line Movement

+21.9+16.7+11.6+6.4+1.3Sep 24Sep 28Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Model +20.1

Hover a snapshot for details

BovadaDraftKings

O/U 58.5 → 60.5

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
1414141456
Mississippi StateMississippi State
7106023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-147-2114-2114-2817-3523-4223-4923-56
Mississippi StateAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSALAMSMSALAMSALAMSMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALATO5p·23ydTD6p·48ydTD3p·5ydTD12p·75ydTD8p·75ydPUNT3p·-6ydPUNT3p·7ydPUNT3p·-1ydTO2p·27ydTO2p·-5ydTD1p·11ydPUNT3p·5ydPUNT6p·37ydTD7p·88ydFG11p·61ydTD7p·75ydTO3p·-5ydTD3p·21ydTD11p·75ydTD10p·75ydPUNT3p·-7ydTD6p·66ydPUNT8p·32ydEND6p·18yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Mississippi State
StatisticAlabamaMississippi State
Passing18-2422-40
Pass Yards304284
Rush Yards17918
Total Yards483302
Turnovers24
3rd Down6-97-17
Penalties10-644-29
Possession34:4125:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Keelon Russell
16/22, 285 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Trae'shawn Brown
14 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Lotzeir Brooks
4 REC, 96 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Kamario Taylor
19/34, 258 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kolin Wilson
10 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Anthony Evans III
12 REC, 166 YDS, 2 TD
defense